BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.A number of data show: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, the increasing self-purchase of equity funds, the acceleration of the pace of opening positions for sub-new funds, the promotion of equity positions for "old funds", and more new funds will be sold in the middle and late December ... Near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. Public Offering of Fund is entering the stadium. Choice data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, with equity funds raising more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. (SSE)US Secretary of State Blinken visited Baghdad to discuss the Syrian issue with Iraqi Prime Minister. On December 13th, local time, US Secretary of State Blinken visited the Iraqi capital Baghdad and held talks with Iraqi Prime Minister Al-Sudani on the Syrian issue. The State Council has not announced the itinerary of Blinken's visit before. (CCTV News)
Liu Jianchao met with Egyptian Foreign Minister Abdul Ati. On December 13th, Liu Jianchao, Minister of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, met with Egyptian Foreign Minister Abdul Ati in Beijing. The two sides exchanged views on implementing the important consensus of the two heads of state, strengthening inter-party exchanges, strengthening political dialogue and humanities exchanges, and promoting the construction of a community of destiny between China and Egypt facing the new era. (Xinhua News Agency)Two States in the United States sued Glock, a gun manufacturer, for ignoring the design flaw that "pistols can easily become machine guns". On the 12th, the prosecutors in New Jersey and Minnesota respectively sued Glock, an Austrian weapons manufacturer, accusing the pistol manufactured by them of design defects and being easily converted into illegal machine guns. According to the complaint, Glock knew this situation for a long time, and continued to sell this pistol to the United States and profit from it, which promoted the proliferation of gun violence in the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)Tigress Financial raised Wal-Mart's target price from $86.00 to $115.00.
Trump: For me, the stock market is everything. US President-elect Trump rang the opening bell on the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday, and he was named the person of the year in 2024 by Time magazine. After ringing the bell, Trump said in an interview, "If you don't produce (goods) here (in the United States), you have to pay 21% tax. If you produce here, we will try to reduce the tax rate to 15%. You must produce your products in the United States. " Trump also attributed the recent rise in the stock market to his defeat of Biden (not Harris). "I have always said that for me, the stock market is everything. This is very important. " He also revealed that after returning to the White House, he will establish closer ties with some of the richest and most influential people.Morgan Stanley raised the opening target price from $950.00 to $1,150.00.Institution: The European Central Bank is paying attention to the weakness of the euro. The European Central Bank said yesterday that inflation is slowing down and hinted that it will cut interest rates again. However, Joost Van Leenders, an analyst at Van Lanschot kemen, said in a report that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the recent weakness of the euro. As the import price rises, a weak currency may push up inflation. The senior investment strategist said that since the current deposit interest rate in the euro zone is 3% and the neutral interest rate is around 2%, the European Central Bank will cut interest rates at least four times. However, European Central Bank President Lagarde stressed that the inflation risk is two-sided.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14